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Published on June 14, 2018 by Gary Grappo

America under Trump: From Global Bridge Building to Demolition

Published first at Fair Observer on June 9, 2018

The US is abandoning one of the G7’s founding principles: free trade. How could that be? Most normal people have an aversion to war. It brings on death, suffering, destruction and incalculable loss. We avoid it usually by diplomacy and negotiation in which all sides manage to get something while also giving something up. Trade […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Globalization, International Trade & Economics, Politics, United States, US President

Published on May 28, 2018 by Gary Grappo

North Korea’s Denuclearization: Is Cuba a Better Model than Libya?

Published first at The Cipher Brief on May 25, 2018

A revised and improved “Cuba model” for denuclearizing North Korea might have gotten a more receptive ear from Pyongyang than US National Security Adviser John Bolton’s dead-on-arrival “Libya model.” Yesterday, President Trump called off his summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong-un. The reason, according to a White House statement, was “tremendous anger and open hostility” […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, US-North Korea

Published on May 22, 2018 by Gary Grappo

The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Is So Predictable

Published first at Fair Observer on May 17, 2018

All too predictable violence has again broken out between the Israelis and Palestinians, but this time with no mediator and, therefore, no possible good end for either side. Their conflict is so familiar, so predictable. The Book of Ecclesiastes sums it up prophetically: “The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and […]

Filed Under: Israel, Middle East, Mideast Peace, Palestinian Territories, Terrorism, United States

Published on May 22, 2018 by Gary Grappo

Iraq’s New Kingmaker?

Published first at The World Weekly (by Manuel Langendorf) on May 18, 2018

In a surprising result, infamous Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr’s coalition came out on top in the Iraqi elections. Despite the firebrand politician’s rocky relationship with the US, al-Sadr’s win presents a “policy opportunity for the US,” according to former US Ambassador Gary Grappo. A group of Iraqis celebrated in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square earlier this week, […]

Filed Under: Democracy, Foreign Policy, Iran, Iraq, Iraq-US, Middle East, Saudi Arabia, Sectarianism, United States, US-Iran

Published on May 11, 2018 by Gary Grappo

US Is Out: What Next for the Iran Deal?

Published first at Fair Observer on May 10, 2018

In assessing the American withdrawal from the Iran nuclear accord, all parties would be well advised to heed the well-known physicians’ Hippocratic oath: do no harm, or in this case, no further harm. On May 8, US President Donald Trump announced America’s long-anticipated withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), concluded under his predecessor, […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Iran, Middle East, Mideast Peace, Oil, United States, US President, US-Iran

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FO° Talks: Trump’s 20-Point Peace Deal: Can Israel and Hamas Finally End the War?

November 15, 2025 By Gary Grappo

In this episode of FO° Talks, Atul Singh and Gary Grappo examine US President Donald Trump’s 20-point peace deal, which has halted Gaza bloodshed and secured a hostage release. The plan, though the strongest diplomacy in a decade, faces enormous obstacles, including Hamas’s refusal to disarm and Israel’s reluctance to accept Palestinian statehood. The deal’s […]

Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

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