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Published on July 22, 2019 by Gary Grappo

Why Aren’t Americans Paying Attention to Pope Francis’ Progressive Ideas?

Published first at Fair Observer on July 17, 2019

Even if the pope’s views on climate change and social inequality might accord with a liberal political agenda, the added baggage isn’t worth it. In his papal encyclical, “Laudato Si’” (“Praise Be”), issued in May 2015, Pope Francis reminded humanity of its responsibility for stewardship of the planet, including addressing the challenge of our times, […]

Filed Under: Civil Society, Democracy, Human Rights, International Trade & Economics, Politics, Transnational Issues, United States, US Elections

Published on June 29, 2019 by Gary Grappo

For Iran, Options Are Few and Prospects Are Grim

Published first at Fair Observer on June 18, 2019

After last week’s tanker attacks in the Gulf of Oman, Tehran will need to undertake a sober assessment of its options, which are few, and its prospects, which only get worse. Last week’s attacks on two oil tankers outside the Strait of Hormuz show that for now Tehran is choosing from a very limited playbook […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, GCC, Iran, National Security, Oil, Saudi Arabia, Transnational Issues, United States, US President, US-Iran, US-Middle East, US-Saudi Arabia

Published on June 6, 2019 by Gary Grappo

The Mecca Summits: Is Something Going On?

Published first at Fair Observer on June 1, 2019

The world would be well-advised to keep in check its hopes of much-needed diplomacy to address the region’s brewing crisis until actually seeing substantive follow up from the pre-Eid al-Fitr summits of Arab and Muslim leaders in Mecca. For three days starting May 30, Saudi King Salman bin Abdul Aziz hosts Arab and Muslim leaders […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, GCC, Iran, Israel, Middle East, Mideast Peace, National Security, Palestinian Territories, Saudi Arabia, United States, US President, US-Iran, US-Middle East, US-Saudi Arabia

Published on May 11, 2019 by Gary Grappo

The End of the Iran Nuclear Deal

Published first at Fair Observer on May 10, 2019

Iran’s economy is set to plunge and the much strained JCPOA with it. But the Islamic Republic will likely remain defiant. Iran’s announcement on May 8 that it will “partially” withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) — aka the Iran nuclear deal concluded in 2015 between the Iranians and the P5+1 group […]

Filed Under: Extremism, Foreign Policy, International Trade & Economics, Iran, Middle East, National Security, Oil, Transnational Issues, United States, US President, US Sanctions, US-Iran, US-Middle East

Published on May 11, 2019 by Gary Grappo

Burns’ Back Channel to the Head of the Line

Published first at The Cipher Brief on April 16, 2019

Writing a memoir is something of a rite of passage for retiring senior government officials and diplomats. The better ones make a big splash shortly following their release and then slowly fade to the shelves of the local or university library. The Back Channel: A Memoir of American Diplomacy and The Case for Its Renewal […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Middle East, Mideast Peace, US-Russia

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Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

Post-Assad Syria: ‘Now Comes the Hard Part’

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

A Cipher Brief expert with deep experience in the Middle East sees both danger and an “extraordinary opportunity” in the wake of Assad’s fall. EXPERT INTERVIEW — The headlines would have seemed fanciful two weeks ago: “Rebel Army Ousts Assad” – “The Fall of Assad” – “Assad Flees to Russia” – or our own, from Sunday: “Syria’s Political […]

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