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Published on August 15, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Israel-UAE Deal: Arab States Are Tired of Waiting on Palestine

Published first at Fair Observer on August 14, 2020

The  unspoken message to Ramallah of the announcement of the establishment of formal relations between the two nations  is “get on with it” — negotiate and settle with Israel while there’s still some chance for an independent Palestinian state. The August 13 announcement of normalized relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates breaks the […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, GCC, Iran, Israel, Middle East, Mideast Peace, Palestinian Territories, Politics, Saudi Arabia, United States, US President, US-Iran, US-Middle East, US-Saudi Arabia

Published on August 5, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Was the First Gulf War the Last Triumph of Multilateralism?

Published first at Fair Observer on August 4, 2020

The First Gulf War may have been the last time that so many countries and the UN agreed to come together under the flag of multilateralism to confront authoritarianism in the Middle East. This week marks the 30th anniversary of Iraq’s invasion and occupation of Kuwait. Desperate to pay off his nation’s seemingly insurmountable debt, […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, GCC, Iran, Iraq-US, Middle East, Oil, Saudi Arabia, Transnational Issues, United States, US President, US-Middle East

Published on July 16, 2020 by Gary Grappo

The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Faces Its Most Consequential Decision in Decades

Published first at Fair Observer on June 25, 2020

Palestinians, most Arabs and much of Europe have voiced strong objections to Israel’s pending annexation decision, while the US, perhaps the most critical influencer, remains silent. Uncertainty hangs over Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s pending decision on whether to annex as much a 30% of the West Bank, including the possibility of all existing Israeli […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Israel, Middle East, Mideast Peace, Palestinian Territories, US Elections, US President, US-Middle East

Published on July 16, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Student Visa Debacle: All One Needs to Know About Trump’s Presidency

Published first at Fair Observer on July 16, 2020

The decision to impose restrictions on visas for foreign students is a textbook example of the incompetence, ignorance, hubris and blundering of a misguided president and ineffectual administration. Imagine you had decided that American politics in the age of Donald Trump was simply too much, a risk of non-stop heartburn, high blood pressure and elevated angst. […]

Filed Under: Education, Foreign Policy, Middle East, Politics, Transnational Issues, United States, US Elections, US President

Published on April 14, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Can the Saudi Call for Ceasefire in Yemen Work?

Published first at Fair Observer on April, 13, 2020

The real hope for a genuine ceasefire in Yemen ironically may be the horrifying prospect of the deadly coronavirus appearing in a country devastated by war, cholera, food insecurity and attendant misery. On April 9, the government of Saudi Arabia unilaterally called for a two-week ceasefire in the five-year conflict that has ravaged Yemen, the […]

Filed Under: Extremism, Foreign Policy, GCC, Iran, Middle East, National Security, Oil, Saudi Arabia, United States, US-Iran, US-Middle East, US-Saudi Arabia

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Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

Post-Assad Syria: ‘Now Comes the Hard Part’

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

A Cipher Brief expert with deep experience in the Middle East sees both danger and an “extraordinary opportunity” in the wake of Assad’s fall. EXPERT INTERVIEW — The headlines would have seemed fanciful two weeks ago: “Rebel Army Ousts Assad” – “The Fall of Assad” – “Assad Flees to Russia” – or our own, from Sunday: “Syria’s Political […]

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