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Published on December 12, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Biden Holds the Cards on Iran, But Will He Play Them?

Published first at The Cipher Brief on December 10, 2020

It would be unwise for President-elect Joe Biden to immediately rejoin the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, aka, the Iran nuclear accord. The situations in Iran, in the US and in the Middle East today aren’t what they were in 2015 or 2018. As conditions have evolved, so must approaches to the problem. In his […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Iran, Middle East, National Security, United States, US-Iran

Published on November 15, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Joe Biden and America’s Second Reconstruction

Published first at Fair Observer on November 9, 2020

Joe Biden will take on the world’s oldest democracy’s greatest challenge: healing a very divided nation. After four days of agonizing vote tabulations, interminable political commentary, overwrought election dissection and national public angst, Joe Biden has been declared the winner of the 2020 election as America’s next president. Biden partisans are entitled to some celebration. It was […]

Filed Under: Democracy, Education, International Trade & Economics, Politics, United States, US Elections, US President

Published on October 26, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Amid Normalization With Israel, Sudan’s Future Hangs in the Balance

Published first at Fair Observer on October 26, 2020

By strong-arming Sudan into signing a normalization agreement with Israel, Donald Trump has placed political self-interest above the democratic future of one of Africa’s most fragile states. On October 23, the Trump administration announced the agreement between Israel and Sudan to normalize relations. Ordinarily, such an agreement would be good for both countries. But for Sudan, still […]

Filed Under: Democracy, Foreign Policy, Israel, Middle East, North Africa, Politics, United States, US Elections, US President, US-Middle East

Published on October 14, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Foreign Policy, Anxiety and the US Election

Published first at Fair Observer on October 13, 2020

Foreign policy may not figure highly as voters choose their next president, but the dramatic changes to America’s traditional approach to international relations are contributing to the people’s much-elevated anxiety over their current president. It has become cliché to assert that unless their country is at war, Americans pay scant attention to foreign policy in […]

Filed Under: Civil Society, Coronavirus, Democracy, Foreign Policy, Globalization, Politics, United States, US Elections, US President

Published on August 29, 2020 by Gary Grappo

Hezbollah and the Path to Ending Lebanon’s Occupation

Published first at The Cipher Brief on August 24, 2020

Lebanon today is occupied. It is reeling from political and economic collapse, widespread anti-government demonstrations, the coronavirus pandemic and, most recently, a 2,700-ton blast that leveled the port of Beirut. All of it may be laid at the feet of an entrenched, scandalously corrupt and colossally inept political class in partnership with the world’s most […]

Filed Under: Extremism, Foreign Policy, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Middle East, National Security, Politics, Sectarianism, Terrorism, United States, US Sanctions, US-Iran

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Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

Post-Assad Syria: ‘Now Comes the Hard Part’

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

A Cipher Brief expert with deep experience in the Middle East sees both danger and an “extraordinary opportunity” in the wake of Assad’s fall. EXPERT INTERVIEW — The headlines would have seemed fanciful two weeks ago: “Rebel Army Ousts Assad” – “The Fall of Assad” – “Assad Flees to Russia” – or our own, from Sunday: “Syria’s Political […]

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