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Published on December 16, 2014 by Gary Grappo

The Fallacies of Russia’s Apologists

Published first at Fair Observer on April 2, 2014

 There is simply no justification for Russia’s invasion and annexation of Crimea.   The erroneous rationalization offered for Russia’s annexation of Crimea proceeds along one or more of the following lines: 1: The US, NATO and other Western governments left Vladimir Putin and Russia no choice. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, NATO aggressively […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 16, 2014 by Gary Grappo

Return of the Great Game or the Cold War?

Published first at Fair Observer on March 5, 2014

Is the Crimea crisis a sign of a return to the Great Game or the Cold War? The crisis in the Crimea Autonomous Republic of Ukraine, wrought by the recent fall of Ukraine’s pro-Russian president and subsequent introduction of Russian troops in Crimea, revives memories of the 19th century’s Great Game, which pitted the Russian […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 16, 2014 by Gary Grappo

Why the U.S. Must Aid Iraqi Democracy Now

Published first at Fikra Forum (Washington Institute for Near East Policy) on February 27, 2014

As many predicted as the U.S. was exiting Iraq in 2011, the country and its fragile democracy are now in very serious trouble. After the investment of 4,500-plus American lives lost and more than one trillion dollars spent there from 2003 through 2011 and a much welcomed exit at the end of 2011, this is […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 16, 2014 by Gary Grappo

With Iraq in Deep Trouble, US Military Aid Now Key to Stabilizing Middle East

Published first at Global Post on February 24, 2014

Commentary: Stronger ties to US and the West would assure Iraq of its best future. Iraq is now in very serious trouble, as many had predicted during the US exit in 2011. The security interests at stake for the United States create an imperative for coming to the aid of Baghdad now. This is a […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 16, 2014 by Gary Grappo

Lesson of Lebanon Can Help Solve Syrian Crisis

Published first at Fair Observer on February 19, 2014

Could Lebanon’s 15-year conflict prove to be a lesson for Syria? Lebanon’s civil war, which cost some 150,000 lives, was brought to a much needed if unsatisfactory end by the Taif Agreement, or National Reconciliation Accord. It had become clear to the warring Shi’a, Sunni and Christian factions, that there was no military solution to their […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

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FO° Talks: Trump’s 20-Point Peace Deal: Can Israel and Hamas Finally End the War?

November 15, 2025 By Gary Grappo

In this episode of FO° Talks, Atul Singh and Gary Grappo examine US President Donald Trump’s 20-point peace deal, which has halted Gaza bloodshed and secured a hostage release. The plan, though the strongest diplomacy in a decade, faces enormous obstacles, including Hamas’s refusal to disarm and Israel’s reluctance to accept Palestinian statehood. The deal’s […]

Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

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