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Published on March 21, 2015 by Gary Grappo

On the Front Lines of American Diplomacy

Published first at Checkpoints on March 2015

An Air Force Academy graduate’s experience with the serpentine, frustrating, fulfilling pursuit of a democratic Iraq. September, 2009 Baghdad, Iraq Up at 0530, dress, pack, grab my PPE (personal protective equipment—30-pound steel-plated vest and Kevlar helmet) and rush out into the morning heat to join Ambassador Chris Hill at the U.S. Embassy’s helo pad. We […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Middle East, Politics, United States

Published on March 14, 2015 by Gary Grappo

Iran’s Strategic Victory: Hezbollah-ized Iraq

Published first at The Daily Journalist on March 13, 2015

Like Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iran is creating a pro-Iranian organization in Iraq, ensuring that its interests in its unstable neighbor are well protected. The presence of Popular Mobilization forces answerable to Iran in the Middle East’s most vital and vulnerable area is an unprecedented realignment of regional forces and a challenge to regional security and […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Middle East, Politics, United States

Published on March 14, 2015 by Gary Grappo

Iran’s Strategic Victory: Hezbollah-ized Iraq

Published first at The Daily Journalist on March 13, 2015

Like Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iran is creating a pro-Iranian organization in Iraq, ensuring that its interests in its unstable neighbor are well protected. The presence of Popular Mobilization forces answerable to Iran in the Middle East’s most vital and vulnerable area is an unprecedented realignment of regional forces and a challenge to regional security and […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Middle East, United States

Published on March 7, 2015 by Gary Grappo

Saudi Arabia and Oman Have Different Experiences With Extremism

Published first at Fair Observer on February 16, 2015

Saudi Arabia and Oman possess differing national identities, varied social and cultural roots, and divergent approaches to tolerance that may explain their different experiences with extremism. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Sultanate of Oman share significant characteristics: language; basic religious heritage; geographic proximity; a remarkably rapid growth in economic development and prosperity; a dependence on oil and […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Middle East, Mideast Peace, Politics

Published on December 22, 2014 by Gary Grappo

The One-State Solution: Simplistic Illusion

Published first at Fair Observer on November 27, 2014

Taken as an article of Mideast peace faith since the early 1990s, the two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict may now be receding in support, especially in Israel. Loss of hope in a settlement and genuine security concerns have led many to conclude that only a single state can address Israel’s security and economic needs. […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

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Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

Post-Assad Syria: ‘Now Comes the Hard Part’

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

A Cipher Brief expert with deep experience in the Middle East sees both danger and an “extraordinary opportunity” in the wake of Assad’s fall. EXPERT INTERVIEW — The headlines would have seemed fanciful two weeks ago: “Rebel Army Ousts Assad” – “The Fall of Assad” – “Assad Flees to Russia” – or our own, from Sunday: “Syria’s Political […]

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