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Published on October 26, 2019 by Gary Grappo

Forever Enemies and Forever Wars

Published first at The Cipher Brief on October 16, 2019

The argument often proffered to justify President Trump’s precipitous decision to withdraw U.S. forces from northeast Syria is that “America must end its ‘forever wars.’” Costly wars in Syria, Afghanistan and even Iraq have made the loss of American lives an almost daily occurrence, drained the American treasury, sapped the vigor of the world’s most […]

Filed Under: Extremism, Foreign Policy, National Security, Sectarianism, Syrian Crisis, Terrorism, United States, US President, US-Middle East

Published on October 5, 2019 by Gary Grappo

Jamal Khashoggi Continues to Haunt the World’s Conscience

Published first at Fair Observer on October 2, 2019

One year after his grisly execution by a hit squad, the memory of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and his aspirations for the people of Saudi Arabia haunt the world’s collective conscience. On October 2, 2018, Jamal Khashoggi, a Saudi expatriate journalist, walked into the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul. What then transpired resembled a 1920s American gangland-style […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Human Rights, Middle East, Saudi Arabia, United States, US-Middle East, US-Saudi Arabia

Published on September 21, 2019 by Gary Grappo

Another Middle East War Is Internationalized

Published first at Fair Observer on September 18, 2019

The attack on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, the consequent impact on oil markets and the effect on the global economy mark the third Middle East conflict to become internationalized in the last decade. “If we don’t go to the Middle East, the Middle East will come to us.” That prophetic comment was once shared […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, Iran, Middle East, National Security, Oil, Saudi Arabia, Terrorism, United States, US President, US Sanctions, US-Iran, US-Middle East, US-Saudi Arabia

Published on September 2, 2019 by Gary Grappo

The World Without American Leadership

Published first at Fair Observer on August 14, 2019

If America has abdicated its global leadership role, are we now left with a free-for-all? People around the world, including Americans, have argued that the world can get along without US leadership. Today, they may want to scan the global landscape. While acute crises and violent conflict may not seem imminent at the moment, the […]

Filed Under: Democracy, Foreign Policy, Globalization, International Trade & Economics, Iran, National Security, Politics, United States, US President, US-China, US-Iran

Published on July 26, 2019 by Gary Grappo

Is it Time for Diplomacy in Iran?

Published first at The Cipher Brief on July 25, 2019

The various sanctions the U.S. has imposed on Iran have exacted an economic toll far more onerous than what the Iranians and other observers anticipated. Unlike those imposed in the past by the U.S., the EU and the UN, these were done to cause real harm and pain to Iran’s economy. And they have, despite […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy, GCC, Iran, Middle East, National Security, Oil, Saudi Arabia, Terrorism, US President, US Sanctions, US-Iran, US-Middle East

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Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

Post-Assad Syria: ‘Now Comes the Hard Part’

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

A Cipher Brief expert with deep experience in the Middle East sees both danger and an “extraordinary opportunity” in the wake of Assad’s fall. EXPERT INTERVIEW — The headlines would have seemed fanciful two weeks ago: “Rebel Army Ousts Assad” – “The Fall of Assad” – “Assad Flees to Russia” – or our own, from Sunday: “Syria’s Political […]

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